Nuggets vs Kings NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions Tonight
The Denver Nuggets rallied from a 20-point deficit last night, outscoring the Sacramento Kings in the second half en route to a 3.5-point deficit. Both teams play again tonight in Sac-Town… but the Nuggets are only giving up 2.5 points?!?
The Denver Nuggets and Sacramento Kings meet Wednesday night at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento for the second time in as many nights.
The Nuggets pulled off a 113-106 victory in the front half of the back-to-back game yesterday as Michael Porter Jr. led with 30 points while Jamal Murray scored 25 points and Nikola Jokic dropped 20 points (and fell one rebound short of another triple-double).
For the Kings, they shot a solid 49% from the field, with five scorers in double figures, but couldn’t even cover the spread as a 3.5 point home dog.
Tonight, the NBA odds have Sacramento holding just 2.5 points at home – can the Kings salvage a split, or will the Nuggets complete the two-game sweep (both SU and ATS)?
I will discuss this in my free NBA betting picks for Nuggets vs. Kings on Wednesday, December 28.
Best Nuggets vs Kings odds
Nuggets vs Kings picks and predictions
The Denver Nuggets have now won five in a row while winning eight of their last nine games overall.
Last night’s loss, in which the Sacramento Kings held a 20-point lead midway through the second quarter, means they have gone 1-3 (both straight up and against the spread) in their last four games.
It’s a tough loss to swallow, but it was impressive that Sacramento was able to get off to a fast start in the first two periods, considering it was without coach Mike Brown (health and safety protocols) and star center Domantas Sabonis (damage to the thumb. ).
However, reality set in in the final 30 minutes, and with Brown out and Sabonis — the team’s second-leading scorer, leading rebounder and best shot at slowing down two-time MVP Nikola Jokic — questionable as he will be reevaluated today. , there is little reason not to trust the Nuggets again.
After outscoring the Kings 66-50 in the second half last night (with Jokic scoring 18 of his 20 points), I’m looking for Denver to continue that dominance over Sacramento and win this one by at least three points – the Nuggets are just the better (and healthier) team, and it’s a gift that the line isn’t much bigger.
My best bet: Nuggets -2.5 (-110)
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Nuggets vs Kings spread analysis
Denver is just 3-4 ATS in its previous seven road games, but that spread is just too short considering the Nuggets have won eight of 9, and after outscoring the same Kings team by 16 in the second half and they won by seven (at Sacramento) last night… the spread is even less for last night’s game, dropping to 2.5 points compared to last night’s closing line of 3.5.
It makes no real sense, especially with Sabonis again questionable to play tonight.
Plus, the Kings are also just 1-5 ATS in their last six against teams with a winning record, and 0-5 ATS in their previous five outings against teams with a better than .600 winning percentage.
Nuggets vs Kings Over/Under Analysis
Including yesterday’s result, Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last six games.
However, the Over has tied in six of the last nine head-to-head meetings with the Kings, while the Over is 9-3-1 in Sacramento’s last 13 home games.
Denver is sixth in the NBA with 116 points per game, ranking second in field goal percentage (50.5%) and 3-point percentage (38.8%). If there’s one way the Nuggets can disappoint the bettors, it’s at the charity stripe, as this team shoots just 73.6% on free throws, third worst in The Association.
Defensively, the Nugs allow 114.1 ppg, but are holding opponents to 48.5% shooting from the field (27th in the NBA), with opponents shooting 36.4% from behind the arc.
The Kings are also a fun offense, ranking second in the league at 118.1 ppg. took a big hit in pace, assist rate, rebound rate and overall net rating.
Defense isn’t exactly a hallmark of the Kings, checking in at No. 24 or lower in points allowed (116.2), field goal percentage (48.5%) and 3-point percentage (36.7%), and we saw that in the back end ugly head as the Nuggets offense woke up in the second half last night.
Nuggets vs Kings betting trend you should know
Over is 6-3 in the last nine meetings between the Nuggets and Kings. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Kings.
Nuggets vs Kings Game Info
|Location:||Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA|
|Date:||Wednesday, December 28, 2022|
|Tip:||10:00 pm ET|