TheWrap Predicts the 2023 Golden Globes Winners

Tuesday night will be the 80th Golden Globe Awards, and the 31st to be televised by NBC. Will it also be the last on the network, or any network?

That’s the question hanging over the 2023 Globes, the first since 1962 that takes place on Tuesday. A year after the longtime Globes network pulled the plug on the deal and refused to televise the 2022 telecast, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association is getting another chance to show it has recovered from the lack of diversity and ethical blunders that caused Hollywood to turn around. the back.

But it’s hardly a show of faith that the network has given the newly privatized HFPA a one-year contract and set the show on a quiet school night rather than the usual slightly fizzy Sunday night. The network is watching carefully to see who shows up, who says what and how much credibility the awards have in 2023.

Other changes: The Beverly Hilton won’t host wall-to-wall parties as it has in years past, and Tuesday night’s winners can show off the influence of more than 100 international critics who have been recruited not to join the HFPA but to serve as no-show voters. members and in the process of doubling the number of voters.

That makes forecasting the globe harder than it was in the days when you only had to understand the passions and blind spots of 80 or 90 LA-based, full-time or part-time foreign media reporters. Now they make up only half of the voters; for every voter in Los Angeles, there’s someone else who lives in a foreign country and doesn’t show up at HFPA conferences or press receptions.

Will this hurt the mostly American nominees? (Elvis never toured outside the U.S.; will “Elvis” have travel issues, too?) And will acts who have publicly shunned the HFPA lose votes, or will the organization want to show they’re above it? complaints giving awards to Tom Cruise (who returned his Globes) for “Top Gun: Maverick” or Brendan Fraser (who has said he won’t attend) for “The Whale?”

Here are our guesses, in a year in which who wins will certainly matter less than whether the HFPA walks away from the show with any sense of being on a comeback.

CATEGORIES OF FILMS
Best Picture – Drama: “The Fabelmans” over “Top Gun: Maverick”
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” over “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama: Austin Butler for “Elvis” over Brendan Fraser for “The Whale”
Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama: Cate Blanchett for “Tar” over Viola Davis for “The Woman King”
Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy: Colin Farrell for “The Banshees of Inisherin” over Daniel Craig for “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”
Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy: Michelle Yeoh for “Everything Everywhere All at Once” over Margot Robbie for “Babylon”
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan for “Everything Everywhere All at Once” over Brendan Gleeson for “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon for “The Banshees of Inisherin” over Jamie Lee Curtis for “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Best Director: Steven Spielberg for The Fabelmans over Martin McDonagh for The Banshees of Inisherin
Best Screenplay: “The Banshees of Inisherin” over “Tar”
Best Original Score: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” over “The Fabelmans”
Best Original Song: “Naatu Naatu” by “RRR” over “Hold My Hand” by “Top Gun: Maverick”
Best Animated Feature: “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” over “Turning Red”
Best Non-English Film: “All Quiet on the Western Front” over “Decision to Leave”

TELEVISION CATEGORIES
Best TV Series – Drama: “The Crown”
Best TV Series – Musical or Comedy: “Abbott Elementary”
Best Limited or Anthology Series: “The White Lotus”
Best Actor in a TV Series – Drama: Jeff Bridges for “The Old Man”
Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama: Zendaya for “Euphoria”
Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy: Jeremy Allen White for “The Bear”
Outstanding Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy: Quinta Brunson for “Abbott Elementary”
Best Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series: Evan Peters for “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”
Best Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series: Amanda Seyfried for “The Dropout”
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Television Series: John Turturro for “Severance”
Best Supporting Actress in a TV Series: Elizabeth Debicki for “The Crown”
Best Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series: Richard Jenkins for “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series: Aubrey Plaza for “The White Lotus”

THE BIGGEST QUESTION
Will NBC offer the HFPA a contract after this year? No.